The general aviation accident rate is 7.11 accidents/100,000 flight hours and the commercial aviation accident rate is 0.149 accidents/100,000 flight hours.
My next flight will last 4 hours, enough to hold 0.0000056 accidents. So to actually be in one accident I'll need to be on 178 572 flights of 4 hours.
So the chance of my next flight crashing is 1 in 178 572.
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